Bitcoin price range on Apr 24, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Bitcoin price range on Apr 24, 2026?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026. This market is pricing an extremely narrow Bitcoin price band ($68,500-$68,999.99) at just 2% probability, implying traders see minimal chance of BTC settling in this specific $500 range on that date.

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1¢
Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $26·OI $275.74·Closes Apr 24, 2026
KXBTC-26APR2417-B68750

Analysis

2d ago

This market is pricing an extremely narrow Bitcoin price band ($68,500-$68,999.99) at just 2% probability, implying traders see minimal chance of BTC settling in this specific $500 range on that date. The 2¢ bid-ask spread equals the contract price itself, indicating severe illiquidity with only $23.39 in both volume and open interest—a sign of minimal market participation. With nearly two years until expiry, the low probability likely reflects the difficulty of pinpointing such a precise price corridor so far in the future rather than any near-term conviction.

Resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 68500-68999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:33:49 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBTC-26APR2417-B68750 yes 100

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