What is the current probability for "Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 30, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.4% and 13765.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica Winner?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 30, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 0/100¢·Spread 100¢·Vol $82,914.32·OI $52,968.05·Closes Apr 30, 2026·14d remaining

KXCONMEBOLLIBGAME-26APR29BSCUC-UC

7-day price34 snapshots · 3 regime

99¢99¢ current

Apr 2718¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

If Universidad Catolica wins the Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.4%

IY (No) 13765.2%

Adj IY 11962%

CRI 5

RV 1195%

VR 3.60

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	13765.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	11962%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1195%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.60	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.7/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.13	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

100¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 3:08:46 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 1:53:56 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXCONMEBOLLIBGAME-26APR29BSCUC-UC yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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