What is the current probability for "San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 31¢ (31% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 7782.2% and 694.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 31% probability that San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos Winner?. This contract trades at 31¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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31¢

Bid/Ask 23/31¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $36.77·OI $36.77·Closes May 12, 2026·16d remaining

KXCONMEBOLSUDGAME-26APR28SLASAN-SAN

7-day price3 snapshots · 1 regime

23¢23¢ current

Apr 255¢Apr 25

Resolution rules

If Santos wins the San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 7782.2%

IY (No) 694.3%

Adj IY 3891%

CRI 3

Overround -0.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	7782.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	694.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3891%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

8¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 5:17:46 AM

Indicators computed 4/27/2026, 5:08:48 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXCONMEBOLSUDGAME-26APR28SLASAN-SAN yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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