What is the current probability for "San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 32¢ (32% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 5977.4% and 904.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 32% probability that San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos Winner?. This contract trades at 32¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

█████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

32¢mid

Bid/Ask 28/36¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 12, 2026·16d remaining

KXCONMEBOLSUDGAME-26APR28SLASAN-TIE

7-day price5 snapshots · 1 regime

29¢28¢ current

Apr 255¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Tie wins the San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Santos professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5977.4%

IY (No) 904.0%

Adj IY 2989%

CRI 3

Overround -0.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	5977.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	904.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2989%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

8¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 5:19:03 AM

Indicators computed 4/27/2026, 5:08:48 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXCONMEBOLSUDGAME-26APR28SLASAN-TIE yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions