Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will Michael van Gerwen win the Josh Rock vs Michael van Gerwen darts match?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 53¢ (53% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 16 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will Michael van Gerwen win the Josh Rock vs Michael van Gerwen darts match?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2473.8% and 2107.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will Michael van Gerwen win the Josh Rock vs Michael van Gerwen darts match?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2473.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2107.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1057%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	0.15	Liquidity Availability Score

Will Michael van Gerwen win the Josh Rock vs Michael van Gerwen darts match?

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