Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with only $2 in open interest and a 3¢ spread, making the 100,000% implied yield on the Yes side largely meaningless as a real opportunity.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 4/6¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $694·OI $696·Closes Apr 24, 2026·3d remaining
KXETH-26APR2417-B2130
7-day price83 snapshots · 3 regime
5¢4¢ current
Apr 181¢Apr 21

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with only $2 in open interest and a 3¢ spread, making the 100,000% implied yield on the Yes side largely meaningless as a real opportunity. The 1¢ price implies only a 1% probability of Ethereum trading in the $2,110-$2,150 range at resolution, which appears mispriced given Ethereum's current volatility profile and the narrow $40 band represents less than 2% of typical spot prices. With just 6 days to expiry and a realized volatility of 7,582%, this market is essentially illiquid noise rather than a genuine prediction vehicle.

Resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 2110-2149.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 484.3%
Adj IY >100,000%
CRI 24
RV 3818%
VR 0.52
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)484.3%
Adj IY>100,000%
CRI24
RV3818%
VR0.52
IAR1.1/h
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.364
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 5:39:25 PM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 5:38:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXETH-26APR2417-B2130 yes 100

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