Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 in 24h volume and $2 open interest, creating a highly unreliable 2¢ price that implies an implausible 100,000% annualized yield on the Yes side.

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7¢
Bid/Ask 6/9¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $1,089·OI $1,094·Closes Apr 24, 2026·3d remaining
KXETH-26APR2417-B2170
7-day price124 snapshots · 3 regime
7¢7¢ current
Apr 181¢Apr 21

Analysis

3d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 in 24h volume and $2 open interest, creating a highly unreliable 2¢ price that implies an implausible 100,000% annualized yield on the Yes side. The 4¢ spread is massive relative to the contract value, and the realized volatility of 8,097% suggests either data artifacts or severe mispricing given the narrow $40 resolution band (2150-2189.99 ETH) and only 6 days to expiry. With such thin liquidity and extreme metrics, this contract is likely not tradeable at posted prices and should be treated as a placeholder rather than a genuine market signal.

Resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 2150-2189.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 874.9%
Adj IY 71430%
CRI 13
RV 6354%
VR 0.56
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)874.9%
Adj IY71430%
CRI13
RV6354%
VR0.56
IAR1.5/h
Overround-0.1%
LAS0.29

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.364
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 5:39:26 PM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 5:38:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXETH-26APR2417-B2170 yes 100

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