Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. This contract trades at 9¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026. This market exhibits extreme mispricing with a 5¢ (5% probability) price implying a staggering 100,000% annualized yield on the Yes side, despite the resolution window being only 5 days away.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme mispricing with a 5¢ (5% probability) price implying a staggering 100,000% annualized yield on the Yes side, despite the resolution window being only 5 days away. The extraordinarily thin liquidity ($100 open interest, $64 daily volume) and massive realized volatility of 12,366% suggest this is likely a low-conviction, illiquid venue where the price may not reflect true probability—the $2,430-$2,469.99 ETH range at expiry appears plausible given current spot prices, making the 5% odds suspiciously low. With only 5 days to expiration and a 19 Cliff Risk Index, any significant information arrival (1.2 events per hour) could trigger sharp repricing.
Resolution rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 2430-2469.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXETH-26APR2417-B2450 yes 100