Who will win 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary?
Prediction markets currently give a 54% probability that Who will win 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary?. This contract trades at 54¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026. This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $3 in 24-hour volume and $513 open interest, making the 53¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.
Analysis
This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $3 in 24-hour volume and $513 open interest, making the 53¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 205.1% implied yield on the Yes side is notably inflated due to the low liquidity and 201-day time horizon, suggesting this contract is underpriced relative to its risk profile. With a 6¢ spread and minimal trading activity, this market lacks the depth needed for confident analysis of Tim Fleming's actual primary prospects.
Resolution rules
If Tim Fleming wins 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGASOSR-26-TFLE yes 100