Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 62% probability that Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings Winner?. This contract trades at 62¢ on Kalshi, closing April 26, 2026. This market shows extreme volatility with realized volatility at 21,600% and a dramatic 7-day price swing from 3¢ to 62¢, suggesting significant new information arrived or the match date shifted post-original scheduling.
Analysis
This market shows extreme volatility with realized volatility at 21,600% and a dramatic 7-day price swing from 3¢ to 62¢, suggesting significant new information arrived or the match date shifted post-original scheduling. The 66¢ price implies Mumbai Indians as favorites, but the extraordinarily high implied yields (2,431% for Yes, 5,948% for No) combined with low liquidity ($293 volume, $273 open interest) and tight 4¢ spread indicate this is a thin, speculative market where pricing may be unreliable. With only 10 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, the market faces imminent resolution risk, making this suitable only for traders comfortable with binary event exposure rather than directional bets.
Resolution rules
If Mumbai Indians wins the Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings professional men's IPL Cricket match originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPLGAME-26APR23CSKMI-MI yes 100