Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Winner?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Kalshi, closing April 28, 2026. This market shows extreme volatility with realized volatility at 13,348% and an implied yield on the Yes side reaching 7,476%, suggesting either severe mispricing or exceptional uncertainty around a cricket match that appears to have already passed its original April 25 scheduled date.
Analysis
This market shows extreme volatility with realized volatility at 13,348% and an implied yield on the Yes side reaching 7,476%, suggesting either severe mispricing or exceptional uncertainty around a cricket match that appears to have already passed its original April 25 scheduled date. The price has surged dramatically from 4¢ to 35¢ over seven days before settling at 50¢, indicating significant recent information arrival (1.0 per hour), though the thin liquidity of $552.14 open interest and wide 15¢ spread raise concerns about execution reliability. With only 9 days to expiry and the match apparently overdue, clarification on whether this is a rescheduled fixture or a resolution delay is critical before taking a position.
Resolution rules
If Sunrisers Hyderabad wins the Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad professional men's IPL Cricket match originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPLGAME-26APR25SRHRR-SRH yes 100