When will Discord IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 67% probability that When will Discord IPO?. This contract trades at 67¢ on Kalshi, closing March 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $240 open interest, making the 67¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 9¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $240 open interest, making the 67¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 9¢ spread. The dramatic 46¢ price surge over seven days (from 14¢ to 60¢) suggests either new information about Discord's IPO timeline or thin-market volatility rather than fundamental repricing. The asymmetric implied yields—76.5% for Yes versus 172.1% for No—indicate the market is pricing in substantial uncertainty, though the low Cliff Risk Index of 2 suggests relatively stable expectations through the 318-day expiration window.
Resolution rules
If Discord confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPODISCORD-27MAR01 yes 100