When will Olipop IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that When will Olipop IPO?. This contract trades at 14¢ on Kalshi, closing March 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $225 open interest, making the 767.8% implied yield on the Yes side potentially misleading rather than actionable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $225 open interest, making the 767.8% implied yield on the Yes side potentially misleading rather than actionable. The 5¢ spread is substantial relative to the 14¢ price, and the high cliff risk index of 7 suggests significant binary outcome concentration. With nearly 11 months until expiry and no recent price movement (holding at 13¢ for 7 days), this appears to be a speculative position with minimal market depth rather than an efficiently-priced prediction.
Resolution rules
If Olipop confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOOLIPOP-27MAR01 yes 100