When will Rippling IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 24% probability that When will Rippling IPO?. This contract trades at 24¢ on Kalshi, closing November 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 24¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 24¢ price potentially unreliable. The asymmetric implied yields (4419% for Yes vs 7.7% for No) reflect the tiny position size rather than genuine market conviction, and the wide 9¢ spread further signals thin trading. The recent price decline from 5¢ to 4¢ over seven days, combined with 198 days to expiration and a moderate 24 cliff risk index, suggests this contract lacks sufficient liquidity to serve as a meaningful probability estimate for Rippling's IPO timing.
Resolution rules
If Rippling confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPORIPPLING-26NOV01 yes 100