When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?

Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing October 1, 2026. This market is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $191 in open interest, making the 7¢ price potentially unreliable for probability assessment.

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7¢
Bid/Ask 0/7¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $0·OI $191·Closes Oct 1, 2026·162d remaining
KXIPOWHOOP-26OCT01

Analysis

4d ago

This market is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $191 in open interest, making the 7¢ price potentially unreliable for probability assessment. The extreme 2,900% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine market conviction, while the 8¢ spread represents 114% of the current price—a massive gap indicating minimal trading activity. With 167 days to expiry and a neutral regime, this contract appears abandoned by traders, suggesting the 7% probability should be treated with significant caution.

Resolution rules

If WHOOP, Inc. confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2988.3%
IY (No) 16.9%
Adj IY 1494%
CRI 13
Overround -0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2988.3%
IY (No)16.9%
Adj IY1494%
CRI13
Overround-0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:30:20 PM
Observability highEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:23:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXIPOWHOOP-26OCT01 yes 100

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