When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 28% probability that When will WHOOP, Inc. officially announce an IPO?. This contract trades at 28¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2028. This market is pricing in only a 20% probability of a WHOOP IPO by end-2027, despite the substantial 249.3% implied yield on the Yes side—a significant asymmetry suggesting either deep skepticism about near-term IPO prospects or genuine illiquidity constraints given the $0 24-hour volume and minimal $297 open interest.
Analysis
This market is pricing in only a 20% probability of a WHOOP IPO by end-2027, despite the substantial 249.3% implied yield on the Yes side—a significant asymmetry suggesting either deep skepticism about near-term IPO prospects or genuine illiquidity constraints given the $0 24-hour volume and minimal $297 open interest. The 9¢ spread is notably wide relative to the 20¢ price, and with 624 days to expiration, the market has ample time for resolution, though the neutral regime and flat 7-day price action indicate little recent conviction in either direction.
Resolution rules
If WHOOP, Inc. confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOWHOOP-28JAN01 yes 100