Will Taketo Takamisawa win the Kinaadman vs Takamisawa: M15 Singapore Round of 32 match?
KXITFMATCH-26APR15KINTAK-TAK · closes Apr 15, 2026 · 14 days remaining
Price
Last
99¢
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
24h Volume
$2,418
Open Interest
$2,415
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 615.5% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 11185.8% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 4 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 3763% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 15.06 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 1.3/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 11186% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
10 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
100¢
Computed
4/15/2026, 7:27:10 AM
About this market
If Taketo Takamisawa wins the Kinaadman vs Takamisawa professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Singapore Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXITFMATCH-26APR15KINTAK-TAK yes 100