What is the current probability for "Where will Anthony Gordon go next?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 40¢ (40% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on October 9, 2026. 171 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Where will Anthony Gordon go next?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 397.1% and 115.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Where will Anthony Gordon go next?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Where will Anthony Gordon go next?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 40% probability that Where will Anthony Gordon go next?. This contract trades at 40¢ on Kalshi, closing October 9, 2026. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a true probability estimate.

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40¢mid

Bid/Ask 35/45¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Oct 9, 2026·171d remaining

KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02AGORDON-BMU

Analysis

3d ago

This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable as a true probability estimate. The extreme 389% implied yield on the Yes side and 10¢ spread suggest the market is essentially inactive, with the pricing likely reflecting a stale or placeholder quote rather than genuine market consensus on Gordon joining Bayern Munich. With 174 days to expiry and a low Cliff Risk Index of 2, there's minimal near-term pressure, but traders should await actual liquidity before treating this as a meaningful prediction.

Resolution rules

If Anthony Gordon's next club is Bayern Munich before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 397.1%

IY (No) 115.1%

Adj IY 199%

CRI 2

Overround -0.3%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	397.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	115.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	199%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 9:11:43 PM

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:08:18 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02AGORDON-BMU yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →