What is the current probability for "Where will Anthony Gordon go next?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 8¢ (8% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on October 9, 2026. 171 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Where will Anthony Gordon go next?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 6913.6% and 6.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Where will Anthony Gordon go next?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Where will Anthony Gordon go next?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Where will Anthony Gordon go next?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Kalshi, closing October 9, 2026. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and zero open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable for actual trading.

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8¢mid

Bid/Ask 3/13¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Oct 9, 2026·171d remaining

KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02AGORDON-MUN

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and zero open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable for actual trading. The extreme 6797.5% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the illusion of pricing rather than genuine market consensus, as the 10¢ spread indicates virtually no real bids or offers. With 174 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 32, this appears to be a speculative contract awaiting either significant news about Gordon's transfer prospects or initial market participation to establish meaningful price discovery.

Resolution rules

If Anthony Gordon's next club is Manchester United before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6913.6%

IY (No) 6.6%

Adj IY 3457%

CRI 32

Overround -0.3%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	6913.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	6.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3457%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	32	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 9:11:16 PM

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:08:18 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02AGORDON-MUN yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →