What is the current probability for "Albacete vs Eibar Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 34¢ (34% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 8, 2026. 17 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Albacete vs Eibar Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 5675.9% and 858.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Albacete vs Eibar Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Albacete vs Eibar Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 34% probability that Albacete vs Eibar Winner?. This contract trades at 34¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026.

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34¢

Bid/Ask 28/33¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $63.96·OI $30.26·Closes May 8, 2026·17d remaining

KXLALIGA2GAME-26APR24ALBEIB-TIE

7-day price12 snapshots · 1 regime

30¢28¢ current

Apr 2126¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If Tie wins the Albacete vs Eibar professional La Liga 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5675.9%

IY (No) 858.4%

Adj IY 5676%

CRI 3

RV 1681%

VR 2.07

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	5675.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	858.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	5676%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1681%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	2.07	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.5/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

5¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 5:52:38 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:38:21 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXLALIGA2GAME-26APR24ALBEIB-TIE yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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