Will Scottie Barnes be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 2nd Team?
Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Will Scottie Barnes be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 2nd Team?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Kalshi, closing June 30, 2026. This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with just $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 8¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with just $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 8¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 55¢ spread and astronomical 5626.8% implied yield on the Yes side suggest minimal market confidence in Barnes earning All-Defensive 2nd Team honors, though the tiny position size means even modest interest could move prices significantly. With 75 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 12, this appears to be a speculative micro-market rather than a liquid pricing mechanism.
Resolution rules
If Scottie Barnes is selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball All-Defensive 2nd Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBA2NDTEAMDEF-26-SBAR yes 100