Will the minimum temperature be 53-54° on Apr 21, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will the minimum temperature be 53-54° on Apr 21, 2026?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.
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5¢Bid/Ask 2/4¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $2,443.96·OI $1,745.8·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining
KXLOWTLAX-26APR21-B53.5
7-day price96 snapshots · 10 regime
16¢2¢ current
Apr 201¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles for Apr 21, 2026, is between 53-54° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (6)▼ Full indicator table (6)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 66670% |
| CRI | 32 |
| RV | 9208% |
| VR | 0.76 |
| IAR | 3.3/h |
| LAS | 0.33 |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:01:11 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:38:18 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXLOWTLAX-26APR21-B53.5 yes 100