What is the current probability for "RJ Barrett: 25+ points"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 13, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "RJ Barrett: 25+ points"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 656.9% and 10511.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "RJ Barrett: 25+ points"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

RJ Barrett: 25+ points

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that RJ Barrett: 25+ points. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing May 13, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $16,352.17·OI $15,379.52·Closes May 13, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBAPTS-26APR29TORCLE-TORRBARRETT9-25

7-day price53 snapshots · 4 regime

99¢99¢ current

Apr 279¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

If RJ Barrett records 25+ Points in the Toronto vs Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 656.9%

IY (No) 10511.2%

Adj IY 9329%

CRI 4

RV 1271%

VR 3.01

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	656.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	10511.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	9329%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1271%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.01	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	3.5%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.11	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

taker

Score

0.636

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 2:21:02 AM

Observability directEvent type sports

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 2:08:56 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAPTS-26APR29TORCLE-TORRBARRETT9-25 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →