What is the current probability for "Game 2: Orlando at Detroit: Spread"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 55¢ (55% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Game 2: Orlando at Detroit: Spread"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2028.5% and 2795.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Game 2: Orlando at Detroit: Spread"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Game 2: Orlando at Detroit: Spread

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 55% probability that Game 2: Orlando at Detroit: Spread. This contract trades at 55¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026.

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55¢

Bid/Ask 54/56¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $120.6·OI $142.61·Closes May 6, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBATOTAL-26APR22ORLDET-216

7-day price46 snapshots · 1 regime

55¢54¢ current

Apr 2015¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If the teams in the Orlando at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 collectively score more than 216.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2028.5%

IY (No) 2795.4%

Adj IY 2795%

CRI 1

RV 1654%

VR 2.14

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2028.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2795.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2795%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1654%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	2.14	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.7/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	4.8%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 3:23:15 PM

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 3:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBATOTAL-26APR22ORLDET-216 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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