Game 3: Denver at Minnesota: Spread: Over 217.5 points scored
Leader sits at 82% across 11 bound outcomes, runner-up at 76%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 202.5 points scored
Outcomes
11
winner-take-all
Runner-up
76¢
New York at San Antonio: Tot
Spread
6pp
contested
24h volume
$931K
liquid
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
8 days
Venue
Kalshi
11 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 2
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 217.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26JUN03NYKSAS-217
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 202.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26JUN03NYKSAS-202
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 220.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26JUN03NYKSAS-220
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 214.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26JUN03NYKSAS-214
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 211.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26JUN03NYKSAS-211
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 208.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26JUN03NYKSAS-208
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 205.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26JUN03NYKSAS-205
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 232.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26JUN03NYKSAS-232
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 223.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26JUN03NYKSAS-223
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 226.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26JUN03NYKSAS-226
Game 1: New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 229.5 points scored
KXNBATOTAL-26JUN03NYKSAS-229
What moved the line
- Jun 1New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 205.5 points scored↑12pp67→79¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 1New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 208.5 points scored↑9pp63→72¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 1New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 211.5 points scored↑7pp59→66¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 1New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 214.5 points scored↑6pp53→59¢ · Kalshi
- Jun 1New York at San Antonio: Total Points: Over 223.5 points scored↑6pp33→39¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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