Will South Carolina win the College Football SEC Championship?

Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Will South Carolina win the College Football SEC Championship?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Kalshi, closing January 3, 2027. South Carolina's odds have surged 700% over seven days from 1¢ to 8¢, though the market remains extremely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $699 open interest, making the 2¢ spread potentially misleading.

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8¢
Bid/Ask 0/2¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $699·Closes Jan 3, 2027·256d remaining
KXNCAAFSEC-26-SCAR

Analysis

5d ago

South Carolina's odds have surged 700% over seven days from 1¢ to 8¢, though the market remains extremely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $699 open interest, making the 2¢ spread potentially misleading. The astronomical 1607.5% implied yield on Yes contracts reflects the low absolute price rather than genuine edge, and the 12 Cliff Risk Index suggests significant resolution uncertainty despite 261 days to expiry. This appears to be a thin, speculative position rather than a liquid market—traders should verify whether recent price movement reflects new information or simply low-volume volatility.

Resolution rules

If South Carolina wins the 2026 College Football SEC Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1641.5%
IY (No) 12.4%
Adj IY 821%
CRI 12
Overround 0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1641.5%
IY (No)12.4%
Adj IY821%
CRI12
Overround0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 11:03:09 AM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:53:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNCAAFSEC-26-SCAR yes 100

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