Will South Florida go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?
Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Will South Florida go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing December 28, 2026. This market is pricing an extremely unlikely outcome at 7¢, implying just a 7% chance of South Florida running an undefeated regular season—a feat that reflects the program's historical performance and the difficulty of going undefeated in modern college football.
Analysis
This market is pricing an extremely unlikely outcome at 7¢, implying just a 7% chance of South Florida running an undefeated regular season—a feat that reflects the program's historical performance and the difficulty of going undefeated in modern college football. The 2713.5% implied yield on the Yes side is extraordinarily high due to the low price, but this is offset by zero 24-hour volume and minimal $489 open interest, indicating severe illiquidity that makes the contract difficult to trade at quoted prices. With 256 days to expiration and a 4¢ spread, this appears to be a speculative long-shot bet rather than an actively traded market.
Resolution rules
If South Florida goes undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFUNDEFEATED-26-USF yes 100