What is the current probability for "Who will win Jack Adams Award?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 4¢ (4% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 30, 2026. 69 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Who will win Jack Adams Award?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 12631.9% and 21.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Who will win Jack Adams Award?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Who will win Jack Adams Award?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Who will win Jack Adams Award?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing June 30, 2026. This micro-cap market on Dean Evason winning the Jack Adams Award shows extreme illiquidity with only $22 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable.

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4¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $22·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining

KXNHLADAMS-26-DEVA

Analysis

4d ago

This micro-cap market on Dean Evason winning the Jack Adams Award shows extreme illiquidity with only $22 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The implied yield of 11,882% on the Yes side is a mathematical artifact of the tiny position size rather than a genuine opportunity, and the 1¢ spread indicates minimal market depth for execution. With 74 days to expiry and a moderate cliff risk index of 24, this market lacks sufficient liquidity to trade meaningfully, and the absence of a Polymarket comparison price (null¢) suggests limited cross-venue validation of the pricing.

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95Close-time delta 14h

Resolution rules

If Dean Evason wins the NHL Jack Adams Award in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 12631.9%

IY (No) 21.9%

Adj IY 6316%

CRI 24

Overround 0.4%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	12631.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	21.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	6316%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 5:40:33 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:38:21 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLADAMS-26-DEVA yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →