Carolina vs Ottawa: Total Goals
Prediction markets currently give a 80% probability that Carolina vs Ottawa: Total Goals. This contract trades at 80¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market displays severe illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite a 37¢ spread, suggesting no active trading interest.
Analysis
This market displays severe illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite a 37¢ spread, suggesting no active trading interest. The 0¢ bid price implies an absurdly low probability for over 3.5 goals in a professional hockey matchup, contradicted by the astronomical 2835% risk-adjusted implied yield on the No side, indicating the market is fundamentally mispriced or abandoned. With the original game date (April 25) already passed and only 20 days to resolution on May 9, this appears to be a stale or rescheduled event that may lack clarity on actual game status, explaining the extreme volatility metrics (1517% realized vol) and complete lack of liquidity.
Resolution rules
If over 3.5 total combined goals are scored in the Carolina vs Ottawa professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLTOTAL-26APR25CAROTT-3 yes 100