Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the first round of the Peru presidential election be between 0% and 5%?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 9¢ (9% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 12, 2027. 348 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the first round of the Peru presidential election be between 0% and 5%?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1206.9% and 9.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the first round of the Peru presidential election be between 0% and 5%?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1206.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	9.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	603%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	12	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution

Will the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the first round of the Peru presidential election be between 0% and 5%?

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