What is the current probability for "Al-Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 13, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Al-Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 498.7% and 13744.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Al-Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Al-Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Al-Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah Winner?. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 13, 2026.

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85¢

Bid/Ask 83/86¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $66,677.16·OI $46,620.29·Closes May 13, 2026·14d remaining

KXSAUDIPLGAME-26APR29RIYQAD-QAD

7-day price27 snapshots · 4 regime

86¢84¢ current

Apr 2662¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

If Al Qadsiah wins the Al-Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 498.7%

IY (No) 13744.4%

Adj IY 13581%

CRI 5

RV 1030%

VR 4.28

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	498.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	13744.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	13581%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1030%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	4.28	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	4.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.01	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

3¢

Computed

4/29/2026, 5:24:12 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 5:23:28 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXSAUDIPLGAME-26APR29RIYQAD-QAD yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →