Will Maurice Washington be the Republican nominee for SC-06?
Prediction markets currently give a 65% probability that Will Maurice Washington be the Republican nominee for SC-06?. This contract trades at 65¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2027. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest, making the 0¢ price essentially meaningless—there are no actual trades supporting this valuation.
Analysis
This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest, making the 0¢ price essentially meaningless—there are no actual trades supporting this valuation. The 8¢ spread and 51% implied yield on the Yes side suggest minimal market confidence in Washington's nomination chances, though the extreme illiquidity means these metrics lack credibility. With 563 days to expiry and a neutral regime, this market needs significant trading activity to become a reliable prediction instrument.
Resolution rules
If Maurice Washington wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 SC-06 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXSCPRIMARY-06R26-MWAS yes 100