Will the White House Press Secretary say Crypto / Bitcoin at her next press briefing?

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will the White House Press Secretary say Crypto / Bitcoin at her next press briefing?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 42,528% implied yield on the Yes side essentially meaningless—the 0¢ price likely reflects no actual trading rather than genuine market consensus.

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10¢
Bid/Ask 9/10¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $124.91·OI $510.43·Closes May 7, 2026·16d remaining
KXSECPRESSMENTION-26MAY07-CRYP
7-day price14 snapshots · 6 regime
11¢9¢ current
Apr 162¢Apr 20

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 42,528% implied yield on the Yes side essentially meaningless—the 0¢ price likely reflects no actual trading rather than genuine market consensus. The 19¢ spread is notably wide relative to the contract's value, and the high Cliff Risk Index of 24 suggests significant uncertainty about resolution mechanics or timing with only 21 days to expiry. The recent price movement from 2¢ to 4¢ represents minimal absolute movement in a deeply illiquid market that should be treated with extreme caution for any trading purposes.

Resolution rules

If the White House Press Secretary says Crypto / Bitcoin at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 23802.4%
IY (No) 232.8%
Adj IY 11901%
CRI 10
Overround 9.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)23802.4%
IY (No)232.8%
Adj IY11901%
CRI10
Overround9.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 1:57:45 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:53:17 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXSECPRESSMENTION-26MAY07-CRYP yes 100

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