Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Virginia?
Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Virginia?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026.
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8¢Bid/Ask 2/5¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $5·OI $832·Closes Nov 3, 2026
KXSENATEVAR-26-CSMI
7-day price217 snapshots · 3 regime
4¢2¢ current
Apr 81¢Apr 22
Cross-venue
Also on polymarket at 4¢(Δ +4¢)
Resolution rules
If Chuck Smith wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Virginia Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 2:12:04 AM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXSENATEVAR-26-CSMI yes 100