What is the current probability for "Will Orlando Storm be the UFL champion?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 29¢ (29% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 28, 2026. 67 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Orlando Storm be the UFL champion?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2473.9% and 119.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Orlando Storm be the UFL champion?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Orlando Storm be the UFL champion?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 29% probability that Will Orlando Storm be the UFL champion?. This contract trades at 29¢ on Kalshi, closing June 28, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 2113.2% implied yield unreliable indicators of true probability.

████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

29¢mid

Bid/Ask 18/40¢·Spread 22¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jun 28, 2026·67d remaining

KXUFLCHAMP-26-ORL

7-day price4 snapshots · 2 regime

18¢18¢ current

Apr 171¢Apr 21

Analysis

44h ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price and 2113.2% implied yield unreliable indicators of true probability. The 30¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the price level, and the high Cliff Risk Index of 4 suggests significant uncertainty around resolution mechanics or event timing. With 69 days to expiry and no trading activity, this appears to be a newly listed or abandoned market that lacks sufficient participant interest to establish a meaningful price discovery mechanism.

Resolution rules

If Orlando Storm is the 2026 UFL Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2473.9%

IY (No) 119.2%

Adj IY 1237%

CRI 5

Overround -0.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2473.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	119.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1237%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

22¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:53:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXUFLCHAMP-26-ORL yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →