What is the current probability for "BC Samara vs MBA Moscow Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 88¢ (88% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "BC Samara vs MBA Moscow Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 498.6% and 11885.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "BC Samara vs MBA Moscow Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

BC Samara vs MBA Moscow Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 88% probability that BC Samara vs MBA Moscow Winner?. This contract trades at 88¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026.

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88¢

Bid/Ask 84/92¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $47·Closes May 6, 2026·15d remaining

KXVTBGAME-26APR221200SAMMBA-MBA

7-day price75 snapshots · 3 regime

84¢84¢ current

Apr 196¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If MBA Moscow wins the BC Samara vs MBA Moscow professional Russia VTB United League basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 498.6%

IY (No) 11885.1%

Adj IY 10453%

CRI 5

RV 16070%

VR 13.56

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	498.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11885.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	10453%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	16070%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	13.56	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.12	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

8¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 4:14:03 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 4:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXVTBGAME-26APR221200SAMMBA-MBA yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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