Will Jordan Pickford be in the England World Cup final squad?
Prediction markets currently give a 95% probability that Will Jordan Pickford be in the England World Cup final squad?. This contract trades at 95¢ on Kalshi, closing June 18, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable rather than a genuine consensus that Pickford won't make the squad.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable rather than a genuine consensus that Pickford won't make the squad. The massive 6124.9% implied yield on "No" and 3062% risk-adjusted yield signal severe mispricing or a completely inactive market rather than genuine probability assessment. With 60 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 10, this appears to be a dead market that lacks sufficient trading activity to establish meaningful odds on Pickford's World Cup selection.
Resolution rules
If Jordan Pickford is selected for the final squad for the England national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXWCSQUAD-26ENG-JPIC yes 100