Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $140.01 by Dec 31, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 31% probability that Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $140.01 by Dec 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 31¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026.
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31¢Bid/Ask 27/31¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $1,207.64·OI $129,820.22·Closes Dec 31, 2026·254d remaining
KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T140
7-day price367 snapshots · 76 regime
53¢27¢ current
Apr 813¢Apr 21
Cross-venue
Also on polymarket at 3¢(Δ +28¢)
Resolution rules
If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $140 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.442
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 1:56:47 AM
SF edge 24.0¢ yesObservability lowEvent type financial
Edges (5)
NO +24¢thesis — Putin profits from Iran war oil prices. Russian military budget fully funded. Uk
NO +3¢thesis — Trump cannot exit the Iran war gracefully. His operating system does not support
NO +30¢thesis — The United States will launch a ground invasion of Iran. After 5 weeks of airstr
NO +50¢thesis — The Hormuz Strait is America's final battle — not because it will lose militaril
NO +10¢thesis — Oil above $100 drives electricity costs up. Data center operating costs surge. A
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:53:17 AM
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sf trade KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T140 yes 100