Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
Prediction markets currently give a 57% probability that Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5. This contract trades at 57¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. This illiquid Saudi Professional League match market shows extreme yield metrics (4650% on Yes, 8172% on No) with zero 24-hour volume despite $527k open interest, suggesting the $526k position is trapped with no exit liquidity and a 12¢ spread indicating severe bid-ask tension.
Analysis
This illiquid Saudi Professional League match market shows extreme yield metrics (4650% on Yes, 8172% on No) with zero 24-hour volume despite $527k open interest, suggesting the $526k position is trapped with no exit liquidity and a 12¢ spread indicating severe bid-ask tension. The 417% realized volatility and cliff risk index of 1 reflect high uncertainty just 6 days before the April 23 kickoff, while the modest 3¢ price movement over a week (54¢ to 57¢) contradicts the volatility readings, pointing to potential data anomalies or a stale market. The neutral regime and 1.9 info arrivals per hour suggest limited new information flow, making this a high-risk position for any trader attempting to exit before resolution.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Najmah Saudi Club and Al Taawoun Saudi Club, scheduled for April 23 at 12:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Al Najmah Saudi Club and Al Taawoun Saudi Club combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
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Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xe83b704807902a3c385ef3c645622cb65a21a3545905902805e81e5510395424 yes 100