What is the current probability for "Alperen Sengun: 2+ assists"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 27, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Alperen Sengun: 2+ assists"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1983.9% and 3486.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Alperen Sengun: 2+ assists"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Alperen Sengun: 2+ assists

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Alperen Sengun: 2+ assists. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 27, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 57/100¢·Spread 43¢·Vol $1,085.8·OI $1,015.8·Closes Apr 27, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBAAST-26APR26LALHOU-HOUASENGUN28-2

7-day price46 snapshots · 3 regime

99¢57¢ current

Apr 261¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Alperen Sengun records 2+ Assists in the Los Angeles L at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1983.9%

IY (No) 3486.1%

Adj IY 398%

CRI 1

Overround 3.0%

LAS 0.77

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1983.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	3486.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	398%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	3.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.77	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/27/2026, 5:40:34 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 4:23:48 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAAST-26APR26LALHOU-HOUASENGUN28-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →