Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1300.00 and 1349.99 at the end of December 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1300.00 and 1349.99 at the end of December 2026?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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10¢
Bid/Ask 1/19¢·Spread 19¢·Vol $0·OI $743.48·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0xe030ed1ae4edeaa25d21dfa116ca1109212e2946a2af258c04696d91b867e868
7-day price103 snapshots · 6 regime
12¢10¢ current
Apr 85¢Apr 17

Resolution rules

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1299.7%
IY (No) 16.0%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 9
Overround 0.5%
LAS 1.90
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1299.7%
IY (No)16.0%
Adj IY0%
CRI9
Overround0.5%
LAS1.90

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/22/2026, 5:55:35 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xe030ed1ae4edeaa25d21dfa116ca1109212e2946a2af258c04696d91b867e868 yes 100

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