Brazilian GDP (YoY) in Feb 2027?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Brazilian GDP (YoY) in Feb 2027?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing March 2, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 557.7% implied yield on the Yes side unreliable as a true probability signal.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 557.7% implied yield on the Yes side unreliable as a true probability signal. The 12¢ spread and 0¢ current price suggest the market hasn't attracted meaningful participation despite 320 days to expiry, indicating either low trader interest in Brazilian GDP forecasts or uncertainty about the resolution criteria tied to Q4 2026 data. The moderate Cliff Risk Index of 5 and neutral regime score suggest no imminent volatility catalyst, but traders should be cautious entering this illiquid position given the wide bid-ask gap and potential for slippage.
Resolution rules
If Brazilian GDP (YoY) is above 2.5% for Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXBRAZILGDP-27FEB-T2.5 yes 100