What is the current probability for "Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-04-30?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 9¢ (9% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on April 30, 2026. 1 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-04-30?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 100000.0% and 5553.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-04-30?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-04-30?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-04-30?. This contract trades at 9¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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9¢

Bid/Ask 8/10¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $56.155·OI $7,414.359·Closes Apr 30, 2026·1d remaining

0xe281476a95551c1930dc669b028314e40c8bd993025d6eabd60ef02db280fea9

7-day price50 snapshots · 5 regime

50¢9¢ current

Apr 267¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 30, 2026 If Deportivo La Guaira FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%

IY (No) 5553.7%

Adj IY 77780%

CRI 10

RV 7249%

VR 1.50

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	>100,000%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	5553.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	77780%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	10	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	7249%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	1.50	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.22	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/29/2026, 8:20:07 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 8:23:29 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xe281476a95551c1930dc669b028314e40c8bd993025d6eabd60ef02db280fea9 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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