Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 71% probability that Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 71¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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71¢
Bid/Ask 70/71¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $410.358·OI $3,793.069·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining
0xb57cab2941546609df2c77672a535ba8374c5c2042f921fdcf3c1f072baf57dc
7-day price182 snapshots · 18 regime
85¢71¢ current
Apr 865¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at ¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.89Close-time delta 692h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 215.8%
IY (No) 1293.3%
Adj IY 647%
CRI 2
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)215.8%
IY (No)1293.3%
Adj IY647%
CRI2
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:53:07 PM
Observability mediumEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb57cab2941546609df2c77672a535ba8374c5c2042f921fdcf3c1f072baf57dc yes 100

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