Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600b and $610b on April 30?

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600b and $610b on April 30?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

██░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
4¢
Bid/Ask 1/6¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $12·OI $1,744.529·Closes Apr 30, 2026·8d remaining
0x0f8ff5a3810a7ff1c464de2a47124e80bc58fb434c602b4a9de8e0f057cad351
7-day price12 snapshots · 3 regime
4¢4¢ current
Apr 223¢Apr 22
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 91¢-87¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.91IY 422.1%Close-time delta 21h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%
IY (No) 198.5%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 24
RV 3726%
VR 0.94
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)>100,000%
IY (No)198.5%
Adj IY0%
CRI24
RV3726%
VR0.94
IAR1.8/h
Overround0.1%
LAS1.25

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 8:10:03 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:08:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x0f8ff5a3810a7ff1c464de2a47124e80bc58fb434c602b4a9de8e0f057cad351 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions