What is the current probability for "Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 17¢ (17% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on January 1, 2027. 254 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 702.6% and 29.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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17¢

Bid/Ask 16/17¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $6,068.272·OI $36,169.377·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining

0x4ac1e1a9a61da989b9dfe246332309bd5e4a2284fd9d4998526fe6e38f6bfe8f

7-day price33 snapshots · 48 regime

17¢17¢ current

Apr 814¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 702.6%

IY (No) 29.5%

Adj IY 331%

CRI 5

LAS 0.06

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	702.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	29.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	331%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	0.06	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 8:25:00 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:23:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x4ac1e1a9a61da989b9dfe246332309bd5e4a2284fd9d4998526fe6e38f6bfe8f yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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