Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026. This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing anomalies typical of low-volume prediction markets, with just $9 in 24-hour volume and a 6¢ spread on an 11¢ price.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme illiquidity and pricing anomalies typical of low-volume prediction markets, with just $9 in 24-hour volume and a 6¢ spread on an 11¢ price. The implied yield of 100,000% on the Yes side is nonsensical given the 7-day timeframe and reflects the market's inability to price rationally at such thin liquidity levels. With Ethereum's realized volatility at 4,748% and the resolution band spanning only $40 (2470-2509.99), this appears to be a highly speculative micro-market where the 11¢ price likely reflects minimal genuine conviction rather than fundamental probability assessment.
Resolution rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 2470-2509.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXETH-26APR2417-B2490 yes 100