Game 4: Edmonton at Anaheim Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Game 4: Edmonton at Anaheim Winner?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Kalshi, closing April 27, 2026. This market exhibits extreme volatility with realized volatility at 2149% and a dramatic 7-day price swing from 12¢ to 56¢, suggesting significant uncertainty or information arrival around the matchup.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme volatility with realized volatility at 2149% and a dramatic 7-day price swing from 12¢ to 56¢, suggesting significant uncertainty or information arrival around the matchup. The implied yields are extraordinarily high (1348% for Yes, 2183% for No), reflecting the thin liquidity of just $221.86 open interest and a wide 9¢ spread, which creates substantial execution risk for traders. With 21 days to expiry and an information arrival rate of 1.3 events per hour, this appears to be a speculative micro-market where pricing is highly sensitive to roster updates, injury reports, or betting line movements from major sportsbooks.
Resolution rules
If EDM Oilers wins the Game 4: Edmonton at Anaheim professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLGAME-26APR26EDMANA-EDM yes 100