Houston Dynamo vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score

Prediction markets currently give a 62% probability that Houston Dynamo vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score. This contract trades at 62¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $115k open interest and a concerning 23¢ spread, suggesting the 56¢ price may not reflect true consensus.

█████████████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
62¢
Bid/Ask 61/63¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $21,764.045·Closes Apr 23, 2026·1d remaining
0x4633789ae10468c2ddf748cb84ac14d61b4393519e089a084753f05d149516c7
7-day price287 snapshots · 4 regime
72¢62¢ current
Apr 1340¢Apr 22

Analysis

6d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $115k open interest and a concerning 23¢ spread, suggesting the 56¢ price may not reflect true consensus. The astronomical implied yields (4063% for Yes, 7140% for No) combined with 875% realized volatility and a Cliff Risk Index of 1 indicate this is a highly unstable micro-market where the pricing is likely distorted by thin order books rather than fundamental disagreement about the 56% both-teams-to-score probability. With only 7 days to expiry and the match occurring April 22, any late-arriving information could trigger sharp repricing, making this a high-risk venue for position entry.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming MLS game between Houston Dynamo and San Diego FC, scheduled for April 22 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Houston Dynamo and San Diego FC each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 38704.1%
IY (No) >100,000%
Adj IY 20667%
CRI 2
RV 124%
VR 0.06
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)38704.1%
IY (No)>100,000%
Adj IY20667%
CRI2
RV124%
VR0.06
IAR0.6/h
Overround2.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 10:21:51 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:08:23 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x4633789ae10468c2ddf748cb84ac14d61b4393519e089a084753f05d149516c7 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions