What is the current probability for "Houston wins by over 20.5 points?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 1¢ (1% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 27, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Houston wins by over 20.5 points?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 30243.5% and 228.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Houston wins by over 20.5 points?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Houston wins by over 20.5 points?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Houston wins by over 20.5 points?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Kalshi, closing April 27, 2026.

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1¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1,464,562.02·OI $506,282.91·Closes Apr 27, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBASPREAD-26APR26LALHOU-HOU20

7-day price51 snapshots · 13 regime

75¢8¢ current

Apr 254¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Houston wins the Los Angeles L at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026 by more than 20.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 30243.5%

IY (No) 228.7%

Adj IY 11341%

CRI 12

LAS 0.25

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	30243.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	228.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	11341%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	12	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	0.25	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 6:12:27 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 4:23:48 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBASPREAD-26APR26LALHOU-HOU20 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →